首次升息時間 |
6個月後 |
12個月後 |
1983/8/8 |
-0.7% |
2.1% |
1987/4/1 |
20.9% |
1.5% |
1988/5/11 |
8.6% |
20.7% |
1994/2/4 |
-2.5% |
2.4% |
1997/3/25 |
20.6% |
39.6% |
1999/6/30 |
6.6% |
6.0% |
2004/6/30 |
6.4% |
5.2% |
2015/12/16 |
0.1% |
9.1% |
平均 |
7.5% |
10.8% |
正報酬機率 |
75% |
100% |
▲聯準會首次升息後,美股標普500指數表現 (資料來源:LPL Research、Bloomberg,2022/3)